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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Fenerbahce
U S S S U
3–2
Full-time
Goztep
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 64%
74%
53%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
63%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,6
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,96 xG 1,57
59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Goztep 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 20 17 3 0 +31 +21.9 54
2 Fenerbahce 19 14 3 2 +31 +24.8 45
3 Samsunspor 20 12 4 4 +15 +10.3 40
4 Eyüpspor 20 10 6 4 +14 +0.7 36
5 Goztep 19 10 4 5 +15 +11.0 34
6 Besiktas 20 8 8 4 +8 +8.2 32
7 Buyuksehyr 20 8 5 7 +5 +7.3 29
8 Rizespor 20 8 3 9 -9 +8.2 27
9 Gaziantep 20 7 5 8 -2 -5.1 26
10 Trabzonspor 19 6 7 6 +10 -0.6 25
11 Alanyaspor 20 6 7 7 -4 -1.1 25
12 Sivasspor 20 6 5 9 -8 -15.1 23
13 Kasimpasa 19 4 10 5 -6 -4.1 22
14 Antalyaspor 20 6 4 10 -17 -15.5 22
15 Konyaspor 20 5 6 9 -8 -8.4 21
16 Bodrumspor 20 4 4 12 -12 -4.3 16
17 Kayserispor 19 3 7 9 -20 -7.1 16
18 Hatayspor 19 1 7 11 -15 -13.2 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 20 2 2 16 -28 -17.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Goztep
22′
🟨 Novatus Miroshi
25′
Juan 0–1
Rômulo
Half-time 0–1
F. Kostić 🔁
↦ Y. Akçiçek
46′
A. Saint-Maximin 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
46′
1–1 Y. En-Nesyri
46′
Youssef En-Nesyri 🟨
49′
50′
🟨 Anthony Junior Dennis
2–1 Y. En-Nesyri
F. Kostić
53′
3–1 O. Aydın
Fred
55′
Filip Kostić 🟨
69′
77′
🔁 Emersonn
↦ Juan
79′
🔁 K. Matsuki
↦ D. Tijanič
79′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ A. Dennis
82′
N. Miroshi 3–2
Rômulo
86′
🔁 N. Sangaré
↦ L. Nielsen
86′
🔁 İ. Köybaşı
↦ Djalma Silva
Diego Carlos 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
88′
Oğuz Aydın 🟨
90′
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
92′
B. Osayi-Samuel 🔁
↦ O. Aydın
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-4-1-2
1 İ. Eğribayat G
6 A. Djiku D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
95 Y. Akçiçek D
70 O. Aydın M
34 S. Amrabat M
13 Fred M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić F
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
18 F. Kostić
97 A. Saint-Maximin
33 Diego Carlos
8 M. Yandaş
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
22 L. Mercan
17 İ. Kahveci
23 C. Tosun
54 E. Çetin
20 C. Ünder

Coach: José Mourinho

Goztep

3-4-1-2
97 M. Lis G
26 M. Bokélé D
5 Héliton D
22 K. Günter D
24 L. Nielsen M
16 A. Dennis M
20 N. Miroshi M
66 Djalma Silva M
43 D. Tijanič F
79 Rômulo F
11 Juan F
Bench (10)
19 Emersonn
7 K. Matsuki
8 A. Ildız
30 N. Sangaré
12 İ. Köybaşı
18 F. Malak
33 T. Durakçay
1 A. Özçimen
54 E. Seçgin
77 O. Bayrak

Coach: S. Stoilov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
4,98
B
7,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.