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Europa League
Referee: Donatas Rumsas
Lech Poznan
S S T U U
1–5
Full-time
Genk
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Genk
10′
⚽ P. Hrosovsky 0–1
J. Steuckers
14′
🟨 Matte Smets
1–1 F. Jagiello ⚽
M. Ishak
19′
25′
⚽ P. Hrosovsky 1–2
J. Steuckers
W. Monka 🔁
↦ A. Milic
26′
33′
⚽ B. Heynen 1–3
M. Smets
40′
⚽ Oh Hyeon-Gyu 1–4
Y. Sor
42′
🟨 Jarne Steuckers
Half-time 1–4
M. Gurgul 🔁
↦ A. Douglas
46′
48′
⚽ M. Gurgul 2–4
own goal
João Moutinho 🟨
57′
T. Ouma 🔁
↦ G. Thordarson
61′
B. Fiabema 🔁
↦ L. Bengtsson
61′
70′
🔁 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
↦ Y. Sor
71′
🔁 J. Ito
↦ J. Steuckers
K. Lisman 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
79′
79′
🔁 K. Karetsas
↦ B. Heynen
79′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
90′
🟨 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
91′
🔁 N. Sattlberger
↦ I. Bangoura
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
3 A. Douglas D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
16 A. Milic D
4 J. Moutinho D
43 A. Kozubal M
23 G. Thordarson M
77 L. Palma F
24 F. Jagiello M
14 L. Bengtsson M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
6 T. Ouma
15 M. Gurgul
17 F. Szymczak
18 B. Salamon
19 B. Fiabema
21 B. Baranski
27 W. Monka
53 S. Dudek
56 K. Lisman
99 P. Rodriguez

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Genk

4-4-2
26 T. Lawal G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
17 P. Hrosovsky M
7 J. Steuckers M
8 B. Heynen M
14 Y. Sor F
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
21 I. Bangoura M
Bench (12)
28 L. Mounganga
71 B. Stevens
10 J. Ito
19 Y. Medina
20 K. Karetsas
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
29 R. Mirisola
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
44 J. Kongolo
99 T. Arokodare

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.