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Europa League
Referee: Jérôme Brisard
FK Crvena Zvezda
U U T T S
1–0
Full-time
FCSB
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,75 xG 0,78
39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda FCSB
Young-woo Seol 🟨
27′
Franklin Tebo 🟥
27′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Tanase
↦ M. Lixandru
46′
🔁 J. Cisotti
↦ M. Thiam
1–0 Bruno Duarte ⚽
Seol Young-Woo
50′
61′
🟨 Darius Olaru
Rodrigo 🔁
↦ Bruno Duarte
69′
74′
🔁 O. Popescu
↦ D. Olaru
Milson 🔁
↦ T. Handel
81′
84′
🔁 D. Politic
↦ D. Miculescu
84′
🔁 A. Pantea
↦ V. Cretu
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Arnautovic
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
13 M. Veljkovic D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
20 T. Handel M
17 Bruno Duarte M
4 M. Ivanic M
89 M. Arnautovic F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
5 Rodrigo
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
10 A. Katai
19 A. Damjanovic
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Lekovic
40 L. Zaric
71 A. Avdic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

FCSB

4-2-3-1
38 L. Zima G
2 V. Cretu D
30 S. Ngezana D
4 D. Graovac D
33 R. Radunovic D
16 M. Lixandru M
8 A. Sut M
11 D. Miculescu M
27 D. Olaru M
93 M. Thiam M
9 D. Birligea F
Bench (8)
34 M. Udrea
10 F. Tanase
18 M. Edjouma
20 D. Politic
28 A. Pantea
31 J. Cisotti
37 O. Popescu
42 B. Alhassan

Coach: Mirel Radoi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jérôme Brisard · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.