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Europa League
Referee: John Beaton
Lille
T S T T S
4–0
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,96 xG 0,11
64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Dinamo Zagreb
1–0 F. Correia ⚽
H. Haraldsson
21′
Hamza Igamane 🟨
31′
2–0 N. Mukau ⚽
H. Igamane
36′
Half-time 2–0
Nathan Ngoy 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 L. Stojkovic
↦ D. Ljubicic
62′
🔁 S. Kulenovic
↦ M. Bakrar
62′
🔁 C. Varela
↦ A. Hoxha
3–0 H. Igamane ⚽
H. Haraldsson
69′
E. Mbappe 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
70′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ H. Igamane
70′
O. Sahraoui 🔁
↦ F. Correia
71′
71′
🔁 G. Vidovic
↦ M. Lisica
77′
🔁 G. Villar
↦ M. Zajc
T. Santos 🔁
↦ R. Perraud
78′
M. Fernandez-Pardo 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
84′
4–0 B. Andre ⚽
E. Mbappe
86′
87′
🟨 Cardoso Varela
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
12 T. Meunier D
3 N. Ngoy D
23 A. Mandi D
15 R. Perraud D
6 N. Bentaleb M
21 B. Andre M
17 N. Mukau M
10 H. Haraldsson M
27 F. Correia M
29 H. Igamane F
Bench (12)
16 A. Bodart
40 T. Sajous
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo
8 E. Mbappe
9 O. Giroud
11 O. Sahraoui
18 C. Mbemba
22 T. Santos
28 U. Raghouber
32 A. Bouaddi
35 S. Diaoune
38 A. Goffi

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
44 I. Filipovic G
35 N. Mikic D
36 S. Dominguez D
26 S. McKenna D
22 M. Perez Vinlof D
27 J. Misic M
8 M. Zajc M
21 M. Lisica M
77 D. Ljubicic M
11 A. Hoxha M
71 M. Bakrar F
Bench (12)
33 I. Nevistic
3 B. Goda
6 G. Villar
7 L. Stojkovic
9 D. Beljo
10 G. Vidovic
14 M. Soldo
15 N. Galesic
17 S. Kulenovic
23 C. Varela
28 K. Theophile-Catherine
86 L. Jakirovic

Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.