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Europa League
Referee: Vassilis Fotias
Midtjylland
T T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Genk
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 70%
82%
57%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
2,4
1,9
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,17 xG 0,95
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Genk
1–0 Cho Gue-Sung ⚽
D. Osorio
17′
27′
🟨 Yaimar Medina
Júnior Brumado 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Gue-sung Cho 🟨
47′
M. Gogorza 🔁
↦ A. Simsir
59′
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ V. Byskov
66′
71′
🔁 J. Steuckers
↦ Y. Medina
71′
🔁 Y. Sor
↦ K. Karetsas
71′
🔁 R. Mirisola
↦ D. Heymans
D. Castillo 🔁
↦ Junior Brumado
84′
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
84′
84′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
95′
🟨 Mujaid Sadick
95′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-4-1-2
16 E. Olafsson G
4 O. Diao D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
20 V. Byskov M
8 P. Billing M
55 V. Bak M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
74 Junior Brumado F
58 A. Simsir F
Bench (11)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
6 M. Erlic
19 P. Bravo
21 D. Castillo
29 Paulinho
33 A. Djabi
41 M. Gogorza
43 K. Mbabu
80 Dani Silva
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
34 A. Palacios D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
20 K. Karetsas M
38 D. Heymans M
19 Y. Medina M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (11)
26 T. Lawal
71 B. Stevens
7 J. Steuckers
14 Y. Sor
21 I. Bangoura
23 A. Bibout
24 N. Sattlberger
29 R. Mirisola
30 A. Yokoyama
44 J. Kongolo
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vassilis Fotias · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.