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Super League
Referee: K Katoikos
Panathinaikos
T U U S T
3–0
Full-time
Panserraikos
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 23%
40%
6%
Points per game
1,5
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
67%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · Panserraikos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 18 13 4 1 +26 43
2 AEK 18 13 3 2 +16 42
3 PAOK 17 13 2 2 +24 41
4 Levadeiakos 17 9 5 3 +21 32
5 Volos NFC 17 8 1 8 -4 25
6 Panathinaikos 15 6 5 4 +4 23
7 Aris Thessalonikis 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aris 16 5 6 5 -3 21
9 Kifisia 17 4 7 6 -2 19
10 OFI Crete 16 6 0 10 -5 18
11 Panetolikos 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Asteras Tripolis 18 2 8 8 -9 14
13 Atromitos 17 3 4 10 -9 13
14 Larisa 17 1 7 9 -15 10
15 Panserraikos 16 1 3 12 -30 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panserraikos
Ahmed Touba ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
2′
3′
🟨 Andrei Ivan
1–0 F. Djuricic
4′
Davide Calabria ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
12′
2–0 A. Zaroury
15′
21′
🟨 Marios Sofianos
36′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
3–0 T. Jedvaj
A. Zaroury
39′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 I. Gelashvili
↦ C. Nunnely
46′
🔁 G. Doiranlis
↦ S. Omeonga
Tin Jedvaj 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Vernon De Marco
58′
🔁 M. Wague
↦ L. Lyratzis
59′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Sofianos
61′
ℹ️ Andrei Ivan
VAR: Penalty cancelled
R. Sanches 🔁
↦ F. Djuricic
66′
I. G. Bokos 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
66′
77′
🔁 A. Maskanakis
↦ A. Ivan
M. Siopis 🔁
↦ P. Chirivella
80′
G. Kyriakopoulos 🔁
↦ A. Zaroury
81′
86′
🟨 Vernon De Marco
86′
🟥 Vernon De Marco
S. I. Ingason 🔁
↦ T. Jedvaj
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
70 K. Kotsaris
2 D. Calabria D
21 T. Jedvaj D
5 A. Touba D
27 G. Kotsiras D
4 P. Chirivella M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
28 F. Pellistri M
31 F. Djuricic M
9 A. Zaroury M
7 A. Tetteh
Bench (12)
12 L. Chaves
71 C. Geitonas
15 S. I. Ingason
25 F. Mladenovic
77 G. Kyriakopoulos
6 M. Siopis
8 R. Sanches
18 S. Kontouris
20 V. Taborda
39 I. G. Bokos
52 T. Vilhena
19 K. Swiderski

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Panserraikos

4-1-4-1
20 A. Tsompanidis G
19 L. Lyratzis D
30 Volnei D
81 V. De Marco D
14 M. Tsaousis D
8 A. Liasos M
7 C. Nunnely M
40 S. Omeonga M
28 E. Brooks M
21 M. Sofianos M
9 A. Ivan F
Bench (10)
13 V. Sakalidis
55 M. Pourliotopoulos
4 A. Karasalidis
5 I. Gelashvili
22 M. Wague
31 Y. Armougom
24 G. Doiranlis
17 A. Maskanakis
47 N. Tolios
80 N. Karelis

Coach: Gerard Zaragoza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
7,57
B
16,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Katoikos · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.