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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Gent
S T T S T
3–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 8/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 11. · Mechelen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 11 10 1 0 +20 31
2 Antwerp 12 10 0 2 +12 30
3 Club Brugge 11 7 1 3 +11 22
4 St. Gilloise 9 7 1 1 +7 22
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 6 2 4 +2 20
6 Anderlecht 12 6 1 5 +9 19
7 Standard 10 6 0 4 +2 18
8 Charleroi 13 6 0 7 -1 18
9 St Truiden 12 4 4 4 +0 16
10 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 Gent 8 4 1 3 +6 13
12 Kortrijk 13 4 1 8 -10 13
13 Oostende 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Mechelen 12 3 2 7 -5 11
15 Seraing 12 3 2 7 -8 11
16 Seraing United 12 3 2 7 -8 11
17 Waregem 13 3 2 8 -12 11
18 Cercle Brugge 9 2 3 4 -3 9
19 Eupen 13 3 0 10 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Mechelen
1–0 M. Samoise
35′
40′
🟨 Boli Bolingoli
Elisha Owusu 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Alessio Da Cruz
48′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
49′
🟥 Birger Verstraete
J. De Sart 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
58′
60′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ G. Hairemans
2–0 Núrio Fortuna
64′
3–0 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
Hong Hyun-Seok
72′
73′
🔁 J. Van Hecke
↦ B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
73′
🔁 J. Hernández
↦ N. Storm
73′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ H. Cuypers
75′
J. Hauge 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
75′
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ S. Kums
75′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
78′
82′
🔁 S. Oum Gouet
↦ R. Schoofs
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
25 Núrio Fortuna M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
11 H. Cuypers F
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
Bench (7)
13 J. De Sart
29 L. Depoitre
10 J. Hauge
17 A. Hjulsager
31 B. Godeau
33 D. Roef
16 I. Salah

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
23 T. Peyre D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
66 B. Verstraete M
30 J. Vanlerberghe M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
6 J. Van Hecke
8 J. Hernández
10 Y. Malede
17 S. Oum Gouet
4 D. Wouters
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,45
B
5,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.