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Europa League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
TSC Backa Topola
T T T U
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TSC Backa Topola Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 2,11
39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

TSC Backa Topola Freiburg
1–0 N. Petrović ⚽
S. Jovanović
13′
24′
🔁 L. Höler
↦ R. Sallai
39′
ℹ️ Lucas Höler
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ M. Philipp
49′
⚽ V. Grifo 1–1
59′
⚽ V. Grifo 1–2
Miloš Cvetković 🟨
60′
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ M. Vulić
68′
73′
⚽ V. Grifo 1–3
R. Doan
J. Vlalukin 🔁
↦ M. Cvetković
78′
A. Ćirković 🔁
↦ S. Jovanović
79′
P. Stanić 🔁
↦ I. Đakovac
79′
B. Sós 🔁
↦ N. Petrović
79′
80′
🔁 J. Adamu
↦ V. Grifo
80′
🔁 K. Sildillia
↦ M. Eggestein
80′
🔁 L. Kübler
↦ R. Doan
Jovan Vlalukin 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
Josip Ćalušić 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

TSC Backa Topola

3-5-2
12 V. Ilić G
17 G. Antonić D
18 N. Stojić D
4 J. Ćalušić D
29 M. Cvetković M
7 M. Radin M
37 M. Vulić M
35 I. Đakovac M
30 N. Petrović M
8 S. Jovanović F
97 M. Rakonjac F
Bench (12)
27 M. Pantović
77 J. Vlalukin
32 A. Ćirković
14 P. Stanić
88 B. Sós
10 M. Mirchevski
44 V. Krstić
23 N. Jorgić
1 N. Simić
25 M. Đorđević
9 U. Milovanović
21 N. Kuveljić

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Freiburg

3-4-3
1 N. Atubolu G
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
5 M. Gulde D
42 R. Doan M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
7 N. Weißhaupt M
22 R. Sallai F
26 M. Philipp F
32 V. Grifo F
Bench (10)
9 L. Höler
38 M. Gregoritsch
20 J. Adamu
25 K. Sildillia
17 L. Kübler
4 K. Schmidt
21 F. Müller
34 M. Röhl
31 B. Uphoff
33 J. Makengo

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.