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Europa League
Referee: E Eskås
Roma
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Slavia Praha
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Slavia Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,95 xG 0,40
45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Slavia Praha
1–0 E. Bove ⚽
S. El Shaarawy
1′
2–0 R. Lukaku ⚽
S. El Shaarawy
17′
Edoardo Bove 🟨
23′
27′
🟨 Lukáš Masopust
Half-time 2–0
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ E. Bove
46′
46′
🔁 M. Jurásek
↦ L. Masopust
64′
🔁 C. Wallem
↦ I. Schranz
65′
🔁 L. Provod
↦ A. Dumitrescu
Evan Ndicka 🟨
68′
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
70′
R. Karsdorp 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
70′
71′
🔁 M. Chytil
↦ M. van Buren
82′
🔁 V. Jurečka
↦ C. Zafeiris
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
83′
L. Cherubini 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
14 Diego Llorente D
5 E. Ndicka D
19 Z. Çelik M
4 B. Cristante M
52 E. Bove M
59 N. Zalewski M
22 H. Aouar F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
90 R. Lukaku F
Bench (10)
16 L. Paredes
11 A. Belotti
2 R. Karsdorp
60 R. Pagano
64 L. Cherubini
63 P. Boer
61 N. Pisilli
68 F. D'Alessio
1 Rui Patrício
67 João Costa

Coach: José Mourinho

Slavia Praha

3-4-2-1
28 A. Mandous G
3 T. Holeš D
5 I. Ogbu D
27 T. Vlček D
21 D. Douděra M
10 C. Zafeiris M
19 O. Dorley M
22 A. Dumitrescu M
8 L. Masopust F
26 I. Schranz F
14 M. van Buren F
Bench (12)
35 M. Jurásek
6 C. Wallem
17 L. Provod
13 M. Chytil
15 V. Jurečka
29 M. Tomič
24 B. Ogungbayi
9 M. Tijani
31 J. Sirotník
25 J. Hromada
1 O. Kolář
18 J. Bořil

Coach: J. Trpišovský

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.