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Europa League
Referee: R Obrenović
Liverpool
S T S U S
5–1
Full-time
Toulouse
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,11 xG 1,11
63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Liverpool Toulouse
1–0 Diogo Jota ⚽
J. Gomez
9′
16′
⚽ T. Dallinga 1–1
A. Dønnum
2–1 W. Endo ⚽
T. Alexander-Arnold
30′
3–1 D. Núñez ⚽
C. Jones
34′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 R. Gravenberch ⚽
65′
C. Scanlon 🔁
↦ D. Núñez
66′
J. Quansah 🔁
↦ L. Chambers
67′
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
67′
67′
🔁 César Gelabert
↦ C. Cásseres
67′
🔁 D. Genreau
↦ A. Dønnum
67′
🔁 F. Magri
↦ G. Suazo
Mohamed Salah 🔁
↦ R. Gravenberch
70′
72′
🔁 W. Kamanzi
↦ M. Desler
Harvey Elliott 🟨
75′
80′
🔁 Y. Begraoui
↦ T. Dallinga
J. McConnell 🔁
↦ C. Jones
89′
5–1 Mohamed Salah ⚽
C. Gakpo
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
32 J. Matip D
2 J. Gomez D
44 L. Chambers D
17 C. Jones M
3 W. Endo M
38 R. Gravenberch M
19 H. Elliott F
9 D. Núñez F
20 Diogo Jota F
Bench (12)
48 C. Scanlon
78 J. Quansah
18 C. Gakpo
11 Mohamed Salah
53 J. McConnell
10 A. Mac Allister
8 D. Szoboszlai
4 V. van Dijk
21 K. Tsimikas
1 Alisson Becker
56 V. Jaroš
7 L. Díaz

Coach: J. Klopp

Toulouse

5-3-2
50 G. Restes G
3 M. Desler D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
23 M. Diarra D
17 G. Suazo D
20 N. Schmidt M
8 V. Sierro M
24 C. Cásseres M
15 A. Dønnum F
9 T. Dallinga F
Bench (10)
11 César Gelabert
5 D. Genreau
19 F. Magri
12 W. Kamanzi
14 Y. Begraoui
25 K. Keben
30 Álex Domínguez
13 C. Mawissa
21 M. Bangré
40 J. Lacombe

Coach: Carles Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.