← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: S Jablonski
AZ Alkmaar
U S S S S
1–4
Full-time
Aston Villa
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,40 xG 1,48
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
8 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Aston Villa
13′
⚽ L. Bailey 0–1
Sven Mijnans 🟨
19′
23′
⚽ Y. Tielemans 0–2
J. McGinn
Jordy Clasie 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
B. Martins Indi 🔁
↦ Alexandre Penetra
46′
Tiago Dantas 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
46′
51′
⚽ O. Watkins 0–3
56′
⚽ J. McGinn 0–4
L. Bailey
1–4 I. Sadiq ⚽
B. Martins Indi
65′
R. van Bommel 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
67′
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ I. Sadiq
67′
69′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ Douglas Luiz
81′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ J. McGinn
86′
🟨 Leon Bailey
86′
🔁 L. Dendoncker
↦ B. Kamara
86′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ O. Watkins
86′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ L. Bailey
D. Mihailović 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
87′
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
10 D. de Wit M
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
11 I. Sadiq F
9 V. Pavlidis F
19 M. van Brederode F
Bench (11)
4 B. Martins Indi
6 Tiago Dantas
15 R. van Bommel
7 J. Odgaard
14 D. Mihailović
12 H. Verhulst
20 R. Owusu-Oduro
21 E. Poku
28 K. Goudmijn
33 W. Goes
30 D. Kasius

Coach: P. Jansen

Aston Villa

4-4-2
1 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
3 Diego Carlos D
17 C. Lenglet D
12 L. Digne D
31 L. Bailey M
44 B. Kamara M
6 Douglas Luiz M
7 J. McGinn M
8 Y. Tielemans F
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (10)
22 N. Zaniolo
19 M. Diaby
32 L. Dendoncker
24 J. Durán
9 B. Traoré
16 C. Chambers
4 E. Konsa
25 R. Olsen
42 F. Marschall
14 Pau Torres

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.