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Europa League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Rakow
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,47 xG 0,32
60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Rakow Sp Lisbon
7′
ℹ️ Viktor Gyökeres
VAR: Card upgrade
8′
🟨 Sebastián Coates
8′
🟥 Viktor Gyökeres
Jean Carlos 🔁
↦ Z. Arsenić
14′
14′
⚽ S. Coates 0–1
Pote
Gustav Berggren 🟨
19′
Vladyslav Kochergin 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Jean Carlos 🟨
49′
58′
🔁 Geny Catamo
↦ Pote
58′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ M. Edwards
67′
🟨 Ousmane Diomande
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ J. Yeboah
75′
B. Nowak 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
75′
1–1 F. Piasecki ⚽
V. Kocherhin
79′
B. Lederman 🔁
↦ V. Kocherhin
86′
90′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ M. Hjulmand
90′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Matheus Reis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kocherhin M
14 S. Plavšić M
11 J. Yeboah F
19 A. Crnac F
77 M. Cebula F
Bench (9)
20 Jean Carlos
99 F. Piasecki
27 B. Nowak
8 B. Lederman
15 A. Kovačević
66 G. Papanikolaou
93 S. Kittel
12 A. Tsiftsis
28 P. Malamis

Coach: D. Szwarga

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
12 F. Israel G
26 O. Diomande D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
2 Matheus Reis M
10 M. Edwards F
8 Pote F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (11)
21 Geny Catamo
20 Paulinho
23 Daniel Bragança
11 Nuno Santos
17 Trincão
14 Dário Essugo
41 Diego Callai
13 Luís Neto
1 Adán
22 Iván Fresneda
72 Eduardo Quaresma

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.