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Conference League
Referee: I Peljto
Fiorentina
U S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Maccabi Haifa
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Maccabi Haifa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,21 xG 0,14
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fiorentina Maccabi Haifa
16′
🟨 Pierre Cornud
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Barák
D. Faraoni
59′
63′
🔁 K. Saief
↦ F. Pierrot
63′
🔁 A. Khalaili
↦ P. Cornud
63′
🔁 G. Kinda
↦ L. Refaelov
Dodô 🔁
↦ D. Faraoni
71′
72′
🔁 G. Naor
↦ A. Muhammad
72′
🔁 M. Kandil
↦ A. Seck
M. Lopez 🔁
↦ G. Bonaventura
76′
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ R. Sottil
76′
79′
🟨 Lorenco Šimić
L. Beltrán 🔁
↦ A. Barák
82′
F. Parisi 🔁
↦ C. Biraghi
82′
88′
A. Khalaili 1–1
S. Goldberg
Andrea Belotti 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
22 D. Faraoni D
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
72 A. Barák M
38 R. Mandragora M
10 N. González F
20 A. Belotti F
7 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
2 Dodô
8 M. Lopez
11 J. Ikoné
9 L. Beltrán
65 F. Parisi
32 A. Duncan
19 G. Infantino
37 P. Comuzzo
30 T. Martinelli
33 M. Kayode
6 Arthur
18 M'Bala Nzola

Coach: V. Italiano

Maccabi Haifa

5-3-2
40 S. Keouf G
22 I. Feingold D
30 A. Seck D
44 L. Šimić D
3 S. Goldberg D
27 P. Cornud D
4 A. Muhammad M
2 D. Sundgren M
11 L. Refaelov M
9 F. Pierrot F
17 S. Podgoreanu F
Bench (11)
15 K. Saief
25 A. Khalaili
6 G. Kinda
18 G. Naor
23 M. Kandil
34 O. Dahan
55 R. Gershon
77 R. Fucs
16 I. Nitzan
37 Y. Levi
32 Z. Shimol

Coach: M. Dego

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.