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Europa League
Referee: M Guida
West Ham
T S S T U
5–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 69%
71%
67%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
43%
44%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,22 xG 0,31
39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -24 Freiburg – West Ham 1–0 14. Dec -23 West Ham – Freiburg 2–0 5. Oct -23 Freiburg – West Ham 1–2

Match report

West Ham Freiburg
1–0 Lucas Paquetá ⚽
9′
2–0 J. Bowen ⚽
T. Souček
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ V. Grifo
3–0 A. Cresswell ⚽
52′
J. Ward-Prowse 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
62′
62′
🔁 F. Muslija
↦ N. Höfler
62′
🔁 L. Kübler
↦ M. Gulde
Aaron Cresswell 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 M. Röhl
↦ K. Sildillia
68′
🔁 M. Philipp
↦ L. Höler
Edson Álvarez 🟨
73′
4–0 M. Kudus ⚽
77′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ M. Antonio
79′
5–0 M. Kudus ⚽
J. Bowen
85′
G. Earthy 🔁
↦ J. Bowen
86′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
86′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ M. Kudus
86′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
4 K. Zouma D
3 A. Cresswell D
28 T. Souček M
19 E. Álvarez M
20 J. Bowen M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
14 M. Kudus M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (12)
7 J. Ward-Prowse
2 B. Johnson
40 G. Earthy
11 K. Phillips
18 D. Ings
42 K. Casey
23 A. Areola
61 L. Orford
45 D. Mubama
21 A. Ogbonna
55 J. Knightbridge
27 N. Aguerd

Coach: D. Moyes

Freiburg

4-2-2-2
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
5 M. Gulde D
30 C. Günter D
27 N. Höfler M
8 M. Eggestein M
42 R. Doan M
32 V. Grifo M
22 R. Sallai F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (12)
38 M. Gregoritsch
23 F. Muslija
17 L. Kübler
34 M. Röhl
26 M. Philipp
3 P. Lienhart
6 A. Szalai
33 J. Makengo
14 Y. Keitel
21 F. Müller
20 J. Adamu
31 B. Uphoff

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.