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Europa League
Referee: G Nyberg
Slavia Praha
T S S S T
1–3
Full-time
Milan
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slavia Praha Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/3 matches
Win Ø 66%
64%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
55%
100%
Both score Ø 52%
36%
67%
Average goals
3,4
4,7
Scored
2,4
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,36 xG 2,11
38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -24 Milan – Slavia Praha 4–2

Match report

Slavia Praha Milan
Tomáš Holeš 🟥
20′
Tomáš Holeš ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
20′
21′
🔁 M. Sportiello
↦ M. Maignan
David Doudera 🟨
22′
33′
C. Pulišić 0–1
Rafael Leão
36′
R. Loftus-Cheek 0–2
T. Hernández
44′
🟨 Fikayo Tomori
Half-time 0–2
M. Tomič 🔁
↦ T. Vlček
46′
46′
🔁 M. Thiaw
↦ F. Tomori
46′
🔁 P. Kalulu
↦ D. Calabria
51′
Rafael Leão 0–3
C. Pulišić
56′
🟨 Matteo Gabbia
V. Jurečka 🔁
↦ M. Chytil
59′
63′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ C. Pulišić
C. Zafeiris 🔁
↦ C. Wallem
70′
76′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
M. Jurásek 🔁
↦ L. Provod
82′
I. Schranz 🔁
↦ D. Douděra
82′
1–3 M. Jurásek
C. Zafeiris
84′
Michal Tomič 🟨
86′
Oscar Dorley 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Rafael Leão
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Slavia Praha

4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk G
27 T. Vlček D
5 I. Ogbu D
4 D. Zima D
33 O. Zmrzlý D
3 T. Holeš M
19 O. Dorley M
21 D. Douděra M
17 L. Provod M
6 C. Wallem M
13 M. Chytil F
Bench (12)
29 M. Tomič
15 V. Jurečka
10 C. Zafeiris
35 M. Jurásek
26 I. Schranz
14 M. van Buren
31 J. Sirotník
43 M. Konečný
45 D. Pech
23 P. Ševčík
28 A. Mandous
9 M. Tijani

Coach: J. Trpišovský

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
46 M. Gabbia D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
7 Y. Adli M
80 Y. Musah M
11 C. Pulišić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
10 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (11)
57 M. Sportiello
28 M. Thiaw
20 P. Kalulu
21 S. Chukwueze
14 T. Reijnders
38 F. Terracciano
69 L. Nava
15 L. Jović
24 S. Kjær
17 N. Okafor
4 I. Bennacer

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.