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Conference League
Referee: V Chinkov
Paide
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Hacken
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paide Hacken
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
6,3
Scored
1,5
4,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
3,8
7,3
Scored
1,8
6,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+4,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -24 Hacken – Paide 6–1

Match report

Paide Hacken
7′
⚽ A. Lundkvist 0–1
Siim Luts 🟨
32′
1–1 R. Saarma ⚽
33′
39′
🔁 V. Lunddal Friðriksson
↦ A. Lindahl
Predrag Medić 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
Daniel Luts 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Adam Lundqvist
63′
🔁 S. Jansson
↦ S. Gustafson
63′
🔁 M. Rygaard
↦ Z. Inoussa
D. Jepihhin 🔁
↦ D. Luts
64′
O. Hõim 🔁
↦ P. Medić
64′
68′
🟨 Amor Layouni
K. Piht 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
69′
Hindrek Ojamaa 🔁
↦ S. Luts
77′
A. Frolov 🔁
↦ M. Delević
77′
78′
🔁 E. Hovland
↦ M. Lode
78′
🔁 A. Youssef
↦ S. Hrstić
Kristofer Piht 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paide

3-4-3
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
27 N. Baranov D
29 J. Saliste D
6 P. Kristal M
23 M. Delević D
16 P. Medić M
14 R. Saarma F
41 D. Luts M
20 A. Ceesay F
19 S. Luts M
Bench (11)
17 D. Jepihhin
28 O. Hõim
9 K. Piht
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
10 A. Frolov
24 M. Suso
11 M. Gomis
25 Mouhamed Guèye I
1 M. Aksalu
5 G. Juhkam
56 M. Sapp

Coach: I. Stojković

Hacken

4-3-3
26 P. Abrahamsson G
6 A. Lindahl D
3 J. Hammar D
4 M. Lode D
21 A. Lundkvist D
16 P. Dahbo M
14 S. Gustafson M
11 J. Lindberg F
24 A. Layouni F
19 S. Hrstić F
29 Z. Inoussa F
Bench (12)
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson
35 S. Jansson
18 M. Rygaard
5 E. Hovland
10 A. Youssef
20 F. Trpcevski
27 R. Amané
23 J. Agbonifo
30 S. Banožić
7 J. Laursen
1 A. Linde
34 S. Nioule

Coach: P. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.