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Conference League
Referee: N Dabanovic
AZ Alkmaar
S U S T S
4–0
Full-time
FC Noah
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar FC Noah
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/9 matches
Win Ø 59%
62%
56%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
23%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,53 xG 0,13
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 FC Noah – AZ Alkmaar 1–0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar FC Noah
1–0 R. Daal
K. Smit
5′
2–0 S. Mijnans
P. Koopmeiners
39′
Sven Mijnans 🟨
44′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Mijnans
R. Daal
54′
57′
🔁 Matheus Aias
↦ G. Sangare
57′
🔁 I. Oulad Omar
↦ H. Hambardzumyan
63′
🔁 M. Jakolis
↦ N. Mulahusejnovic
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
68′
K. Boogaard 🔁
↦ K. Smit
68′
Elijah Dijkstra 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Sergey Muradyan
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. Chavez Garcia
80′
80′
🔁 E. Boakye
↦ S. Muradyan
80′
🔁 G. Manvelyan
I. Jensen 🔁
↦ I. Sadiq
83′
A. Oufkir 🔁
↦ R. Daal
83′
Kasper Boogaard 🟨
87′
4–0 I. Jensen
T. Parrott
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
22 E. Dijkstra D
5 Penetra D
23 B. van Duijl D
15 M. Chavez Garcia D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
26 K. Smit M
11 I. Sadiq F
9 T. Parrott F
27 R. Daal F
Bench (12)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
7 Weslley Patati
17 I. Jensen
18 R. Ichihara
19 J. Hornkamp
24 A. Oufkir
33 M. Sin
34 M. de Wit
35 M. Meerdink
74 K. Boogaard

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

FC Noah

5-4-1
92 A. Ploshchadnyi G
19 H. Hambardzumyan D
3 S. Muradyan D
39 N. Saintini D
44 N. Zolotic D
33 D. Sualehe D
7 H. Ferreira M
88 Y. Eteki M
14 T. Oshima M
17 G. Sangare M
32 N. Mulahusejnovic F
Bench (9)
16 T. Fayulu
6 E. Boakye
9 Matheus Aias
10 G. Manvelyan
11 I. Oulad Omar
23 A. Khamoyan
37 G. Silva
47 M. Jakolis
99 H. Harutyunyan

Coach: Sandro Perkovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Dabanovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.