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Conference League
Referee: R Hennessey
HNK Rijeka
S T T S U
0–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,3
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,07 xG 0,38
63% Possession 37%
23 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Rijeka AEK Larnaca
13′
🟨 Waldo Rubio Marín
45′
🟨 Jeremie Gnali
Half-time 0–0
52′
ℹ️ Riad Bajić
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
🟨 Giorgos Naoum
60′
🟨 Pere Pons
60′
🟨 Jorge Miramón
D. Cop 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
67′
L. Menalo 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
67′
75′
🔁 Jimmy Suarez
↦ G. Naoum
75′
🔁 G. Ekpolo
↦ W. Rubio
75′
🔁 E. Cabrera
↦ R. Bajic
93′
🟨 Hrvoje Miličević
93′
🟨 Enric Saborit
94′
🔁 V. Roberge
↦ D. Ivanovic
Ante Majstorović 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-4-2
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
23 J. Lasickas D
19 S. Vignato M
26 T. Dantas M
51 A. Husic M
14 A. Gojak M
10 T. Fruk F
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (11)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
8 D. Petrovic
9 D. Cop
11 G. Rukavina
17 L. Menalo
20 M. Ndockyt
25 D. Thaqi
27 S. Butic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerovic G
21 Miramon D
15 H. Milicevic D
4 E. Saborit D
93 J. Gnali D
7 Ledes Gustavo M
17 P. Pons M
29 G. Naoum M
9 D. Ivanovic M
10 W. Rubio M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (11)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
6 Jimmy Suarez
14 A. Garcia
19 K. Angielski
22 G. Ekpolo
27 V. Roberge
30 E. Cabrera
37 D. Gerasimou
41 Mathias Gonzalez

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.