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Conference League
Referee: Dalibor Cerny
AEK Larnaca
T T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
5,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
4,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-3,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,56 xG 0,83
68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Larnaca Aberdeen
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 K. Nisbet
↦ M. Lazetic
63′
🔁 T. Keskinen
↦ S. Armstrong
G. Naoum 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
67′
K. Angielski 🔁
↦ R. Bajic
72′
Mathias Gonzalez 🔁
↦ P. Pons
72′
75′
🔁 N. Milanovic
↦ J. Karlsson
75′
🔁 E. Gyamfi
↦ A. Jensen
84′
🔁 G. Shinnie
↦ D. Polvara
Mathías González 🟨
92′
P. Ioannou 🔁
↦ G. Ekpolo
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-3-3
1 Z. Alomerovic G
21 Miramon D
22 G. Ekpolo D
15 H. Milicevic D
93 J. Gnali D
17 P. Pons M
7 Ledes Gustavo M
6 Jimmy Suarez M
10 W. Rubio F
11 R. Bajic F
9 D. Ivanovic F
Bench (8)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
19 K. Angielski
27 V. Roberge
29 G. Naoum
37 D. Gerasimou
41 Mathias Gonzalez

Coach: Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegi

Aberdeen

5-4-1
1 D. Mitov G
38 D. Lobban D
2 N. Devlin D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
28 A. Jensen D
16 S. Armstrong M
8 D. Polvara M
7 A. Aouchiche M
17 J. Karlsson M
27 M. Lazetic F
Bench (10)
13 N. Suman
41 R. Vitols
4 G. Shinnie
9 K. Yengi
10 L. Clarkson
11 N. Milanovic
15 K. Nisbet
21 G. Molloy
77 E. Gyamfi
81 T. Keskinen

Coach: Bo Jimmy Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.