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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
T U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Jerv
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 10. · Jerv 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 18 13 3 2 +26 42
2 Viking 21 13 1 7 +14 40
3 Mjondalen 20 11 6 3 +16 39
4 Sogndal 19 10 5 4 +13 35
5 Kongsvinger 20 10 2 8 +11 32
6 Tromsdalen Uil 20 9 5 6 +1 32
7 Ull/Kisa 20 8 7 5 +10 31
8 Sandnes ULF 21 7 6 8 -7 27
9 Nest-Sotra 20 7 5 8 +0 26
10 Notodden 20 7 3 10 -5 24
11 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 -2 23
12 Jerv 19 5 8 6 -3 23
13 Asane 20 6 5 9 -9 23
14 Floro 20 5 3 12 -25 18
15 Strommen 20 5 1 14 -17 16
16 Levanger 20 3 3 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. May -18 Jerv – Notodden 1–0

Match report

Notodden Jerv
Half-time 0–1
51′
D. Aase 0–1
K. Tøsse 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
67′
A. Bakke 🔁
↦ M. Brekke
67′
70′
🔁 U. Berglann
↦ S. Okoli
70′
🔁 V. Somdal
↦ L. Ferreira
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ H. Gustavsen
78′
80′
🔁 H. Suggelia
↦ T. Zernichow
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
14 J. Asp
15 C. Mac-Intosch
5 S. Jenssen
18 J. Robson
23 G. Salasiwa
8 H. Gustavsen
17 Filipe Ferreira
10 E. Midtgarden
9 M. Brekke
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
21 K. Tøsse
22 A. Bakke
25 M. Gjerstrøm
4 M. Strange
12 E. Vasby
3 Jeffrey Perez
20 A. Mbedule

Coach: K. Dokken

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
2 G. Andersen
4 E. Knudsen
3 B. Wembangomo
19 K. Tønnessen
6 M. Wichmann
23 A. Hagen
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
95 L. Ferreira
29 S. Okoli
Bench (6)
7 U. Berglann
14 V. Somdal
34 H. Suggelia
1 M. Nordqvist
35 P. Reinhardsen
33 T. Wangerud

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.