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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
19 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 8. · Lokeren 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Genk 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Antwerp 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
5 Oostende 5 3 0 2 -1 9
6 Standard 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Cercle Brugge 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Gent 3 2 1 0 +4 7
9 Waregem 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 St Truiden 5 0 4 1 -1 4
11 Kortrijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
12 Charleroi 5 1 0 4 -3 3
13 Beveren 4 0 3 1 -3 3
14 Eupen 5 1 0 4 -10 3
15 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -8 1
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 0 0 5 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Lokeren
Half-time 0–0
Brecht Dejaegere 🟨
58′
59′
Jose Francisco Cevallos 0–1
Jean-Luc Dompe 🔁
↦ Stallone Limbombe
62′
Taiwo Awoniyi 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
68′
1–1 Jonathan Christian David
Jean-Luc Dompe
79′
79′
🔁 Amine Benchaib
↦ Guus Hupperts
2–1 Giorgi Kvilitaia
87′
Giorgi Kvilitaia 🔁
↦ Giorgi Chakvetadze
87′
Giorgi Chakvetadze 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Anton Saroka
↦ Steve De Ridder
90′
🔁 Marko Miric
↦ Lukáš Mareček
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
20 Yannick Thoelen G
32 Thomas Foket M
5 Igor Plastun D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
6 Birger Verstraete M
9 Stallone Limbombe M
16 Jonathan Christian David F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
92 Colin Coosemans
35 Jari De Busser
28 Dylan Bronn
29 Thibault De Smet
23 Franko Andrijašević
24 Nicolas Raskin
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia
14 Taiwo Awoniyi
11 Jean-Luc Dompe

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
12 Ortwin De Wolf G
25 Mickael Tirpan D
20 Joher Khadim Rassoul M
32 Jakov Filipović D
16 Omri Ben Harush D
7 Killian Overmeire M
23 Lukáš Mareček M
14 Mehdi Terki F
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos M
17 Guus Hupperts F
22 Steve De Ridder M
Bench (7)
13 Davino Verhulst
18 Bambo Diaby
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason
26 Arno Monsecour
28 Amine Benchaib
21 Marko Miric
77 Anton Saroka

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.