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Eliteserien

Referee: Kai Erik Steen

Sarpsborg 08

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Kristiansund

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

47%

32%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

47%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 5. · Kristiansund 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	19	12	5	2	+13	41
2	Rosenborg	19	12	4	3	+19	40
3	Haugesund	19	10	5	4	+9	35
4	Molde	19	10	3	6	+16	33
5	Sarpsborg 08	19	9	5	5	+12	32
6	Ranheim	19	9	4	6	-2	31
7	Valerenga	19	7	6	6	-4	27
8	Tromso	20	8	2	10	+0	26
9	Kristiansund	19	6	6	7	-3	24
10	Odd	19	6	5	8	+3	23
11	Bodo/Glimt	20	5	8	7	-2	23
12	Stromsgodset	19	5	7	7	+3	22
13	Stabaek	19	4	6	9	-12	18
14	Lillestrom	19	3	7	9	-11	16
15	Start	19	4	4	11	-20	16
16	Sandefjord	19	2	5	12	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	8	0	2	+20	24
2	Sarpsborg 08	10	6	2	2	+13	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Ranheim	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+11	19
6	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+12	18
7	Odd	10	5	2	3	+10	17
8	Haugesund	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Valerenga	9	4	4	1	+3	16
10	Stromsgodset	10	4	3	3	+9	15
11	Stabaek	9	4	3	2	+2	15
12	Kristiansund	10	4	3	3	+2	15
13	Start	10	4	2	4	-3	14
14	Bodo/Glimt	10	3	4	3	+4	13
15	Lillestrom	9	2	6	1	+1	12
16	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
2	Brann	10	6	3	1	+3	21
3	Haugesund	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	3	3	-1	12
5	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-7	11
6	Ranheim	9	3	2	4	-10	11
7	Bodo/Glimt	10	2	4	4	-6	10
8	Molde	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Kristiansund	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Stromsgodset	9	1	4	4	-6	7
11	Tromso	10	2	1	7	-11	7
12	Odd	9	1	3	5	-7	6
13	Sandefjord	10	1	3	6	-15	6
14	Lillestrom	10	1	1	8	-12	4
15	Stabaek	10	0	3	7	-14	3
16	Start	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.