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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Genk
S S U S S
3–2
Full-time
Beveren
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Beveren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 2. · Beveren 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Genk 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Gent 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Antwerp 4 3 1 0 +3 10
5 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Oostende 5 3 0 2 -1 9
7 Standard 4 2 2 0 +4 8
8 Cercle Brugge 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Waregem 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 St Truiden 5 0 4 1 -1 4
11 Kortrijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
12 Charleroi 5 1 0 4 -3 3
13 Beveren 4 0 3 1 -3 3
14 Eupen 5 1 0 4 -10 3
15 Lokeren 5 0 1 4 -9 1
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 0 0 5 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Beveren
1–0 Edon Zhegrova
Zinho Gano
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mouhamadou Ndao
↦ Francesco Forte
Alejandro Pozuelo
penalty missed
53′
53′
🟨 Rafidine Abdullah
Zinho Gano 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Milan Massop
Mbwana Samatta 🔁
↦ Zinho Gano
59′
65′
🔁 Beni Badibanga
↦ Rafidine Abdullah
66′
Nana Opoku Ampomah 1–1
Aleksandar Boljevic
68′
🟨 Paul Keita
Leandro Trossard 🔁
↦ Edon Zhegrova
68′
Leandro Trossard
penalty missed
69′
74′
Nana Opoku Ampomah 1–2
Denzel Jubitana
Ruslan Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ Bryan Heynen
75′
2–2 Mbwana Samatta
Ruslan Malinovskyi
78′
78′
🔁 Joachim Van Damme
↦ Denzel Jubitana
82′
🟨 Aleksandar Boljevic
2–3 Maximiliano Caufriez
own goal
89′
Ruslan Malinovskyi 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
45 Joseph Aidoo D
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
3 Bojan Nastić D
28 Bryan Heynen M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
15 Ibrahima Seck M
8 Edon Zhegrova F
93 Zinho Gano F
11 Joseph Paintsil M
Bench (7)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
4 Dries Wouters
19 Jakub Piotrowski
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi
14 Leandro Trossard
10 Mbwana Samatta

Coach: P. Clement

Beveren

4-2-3-1
33 Davy Roef G
52 Jur Schryvers D
23 Maximiliano Caufriez D
26 Aleksandar Vukotić D
3 Milan Massop D
15 Paul Keita M
24 Rafidine Abdullah M
7 Aleksandar Boljevic F
14 Denzel Jubitana M
22 Nana Opoku Ampomah M
9 Francesco Forte F
Bench (8)
89 Kevin Debaty
28 Daam Foulon
2 Tobias Salquist
13 Louis Verstraete
5 Karlo Lulić
6 Joachim Van Damme
11 Beni Badibanga
12 Mouhamadou Ndao

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.