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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Norwich
T S
1–1
Full-time
Stoke
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
20 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 0
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 9. · Stoke 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 West Ham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Stoke
11′
⚽ M. Diouf 0–1
X. Shaqiri
1–1 R. Martin ⚽
N. Redmond
28′
Russell Martin 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Sebastien Bassong 🟨
47′
57′
🔁 S. Ireland
↦ I. Afellay
57′
🔁 Joselu
↦ M. Arnautović
Alexander Tettey 🟨
62′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ W. Hoolahan
77′
79′
🔁 C. Adam
↦ M. van Ginkel
Steven Whittaker 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Erik Pieters
G. O'Neil 🔁
↦ J. Howson
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

1 J. Ruddy G
2 S. Whittaker D
6 S. Bassong D
5 R. Martin D
27 A. Tettey M
14 W. Hoolahan F
18 G. Dorrans M
8 J. Howson M
22 N. Redmond M
10 C. Jerome F
12 R. Brady D
Bench (7)
4 B. Johnson
28 G. O'Neil
3 A. Wisdom
7 L. Grabban
11 G. Hooper
13 D. Rudd
24 R. Bennett

Stoke

1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters D
8 G. Johnson D
20 G. Cameron D
5 Muniesa D
14 I. Afellay M
6 G. Whelan M
15 M. van Ginkel M
10 M. Arnautović M
18 M. Diouf F
22 X. Shaqiri M
Bench (7)
7 S. Ireland
11 Joselu
16 C. Adam
12 M. Wilson
24 S. Given
25 P. Crouch
26 P. Wollscheid

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.