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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 8. · Reims 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Caen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Troyes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Lorient 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Nice 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Bordeaux 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Lille 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Marseille 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Reims
Kolbeinn Sigthorsson 🟨
13′
40′
🟨 Jaba Kankava
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 O. MFulu
↦ J. Kankava
57′
🟨 Anthony Weber
63′
🔁 G. Kyei
↦ D. NGog
A. Bedoya 🔁
↦ Adryan
64′
65′
🟨 Omenuke Mfulu
69′
🔁 J. Placide
↦ K. Agassa
Y. Bammou 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
75′
1–0 E. Lenjani
J. Audel
76′
R. Gomis 🔁
↦ K. Sigþórsson
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nantes

1 R. Riou
26 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
21 J. Audel F
18 L. Deaux M
5 E. Lenjani D
12 Birama Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
9 K. Sigþórsson F
23 Adryan M
8 A. Thomasson M
Bench (7)
7 A. Bedoya
10 Y. Bammou
6 R. Gomis
4 O. Vizcarrondo
20 J. Iloki
30 M. Dupé
36 E. Kwateng

Reims

16 K. Agassa G
3 F. Signorino D
25 A. Weber D
23 A. Mandi D
27 H. Traoré D
4 J. Kankava M
8 P. Oniangué M
6 A. Devaux M
18 F. Bulot F
24 D. NGog F
12 N. de Préville F
Bench (7)
26 O. MFulu
29 G. Kyei
30 J. Placide
2 M. Fofana
10 G. Charbonnier
15 A. Turan
33 T. Siebatcheu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.