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Eredivisie
Referee: Eric Braamhaar
Heerenveen
S U
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · PSV Eindhoven 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
4 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Zwolle 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Heerenveen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Twente 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ M. te Vrede
11′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Davy Pröpper
1–0 C. Cavlan ⚽
55′
66′
⚽ L. de Jong 1–1
A. Maher
K. Otigba 🔁
↦ B. van den Boomen
71′
74′
🔁 G. Pereiro
↦ M. Lestienne
S. Marzo 🔁
↦ S. Thern
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
22 C. Cavlan D
2 P. van Anholt D
5 L. Bijker D
16 J. St. Juste D
21 J. van den Berg
10 S. Thern M
17 B. van den Boomen M
11 S. Larsson F
9 M. te Vrede F
7 L. Slagveer F
Bench (7)
20 H. Veerman
3 K. Otigba
6 S. Marzo
8 M. Thorsby
15 L. Zahovič
25 W. Huizing
33 M. de Fockert

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet G
4 S. Arias D
5 J. Bruma D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
10 A. Maher M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
16 M. Lestienne M
Bench (7)
7 G. Pereiro
8 S. Schaars
14 S. Poulsen
22 R. Pasveer
23 R. Vloet
29 J. Hendrix
33 S. Alberto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.