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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Brighton
S S U
1–0
Full-time
Blackburn
T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brighton 5. · Blackburn 21. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Charlton 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Hull 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 QPR 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Preston 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Burnley 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Wolves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Leeds 4 0 4 0 +0 4
16 Derby 4 0 4 0 +0 4
17 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 -3 4
18 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
19 Reading 4 0 3 1 -1 3
20 Huddersfield 4 0 3 1 -2 3
21 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 -1 2
22 Fulham 4 0 2 2 -2 2
23 Bolton 4 0 2 2 -4 2
24 Rotherham 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Blackburn
1–0 K. LuaLua ⚽
S. Baldock
35′
39′
🟨 Shane Duffy
Half-time 1–0
Gordon Greer 🟨
46′
69′
🔁 M. Barrow
↦ F. Koita
Beram Kayal 🟨
72′
Uwe Hünemeier 🟨
75′
S. March 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
78′
83′
🔁 M. Kilgallon
↦ T. Lawrence
R. Ince 🔁
↦ S. Baldock
84′
C. O'Grady 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
88′
Kazenga LuaLua 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Danny Guthrie
90′
🟨 Ben Marshall
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brighton

13 D. Stockdale
3 G. Greer D
4 U. Hünemeier D
12 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
30 K. LuaLua M
6 D. Stephens M
7 B. Kayal M
15 J. Murphy M
9 S. Baldock F
10 T. Hemed F
Bench (7)
20 S. March
24 R. Ince
11 C. O'Grady
1 N. Mäenpää
5 L. Dunk
18 J. Forster-Caskey
23 L. Rosenior

Blackburn

33 David Raya G
3 T. Spurr D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
21 H. Akpan M
16 T. Lawrence M
7 N. Delfouneso F
8 F. Koita F
Bench (6)
31 M. Barrow
4 M. Kilgallon
14 M. Olsson
17 L. Williamson
29 C. Evans
30 J. Steele

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.