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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Brann
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Lillestrom 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 5 4 +23 53
2 Brann 24 14 6 4 +13 48
3 Molde 25 14 4 7 +19 46
4 Haugesund 25 13 5 7 +9 44
5 Ranheim 25 11 5 9 -4 38
6 Odd 25 10 7 8 +8 37
7 Valerenga 25 10 7 8 -2 37
8 Kristiansund 25 9 7 9 +1 34
9 Tromso 25 10 3 12 -2 33
10 Sarpsborg 08 25 9 5 11 +4 32
11 Bodo/Glimt 25 6 9 10 -3 27
12 Stromsgodset 25 6 8 11 -1 26
13 Start 25 7 5 13 -17 26
14 Lillestrom 24 6 7 11 -11 25
15 Stabaek 25 5 9 11 -14 24
16 Sandefjord 25 2 10 13 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Lillestrom
Half-time 0–0
D. Vega 🔁
↦ S. Skålevik
46′
1–0 T. Teniste
G. Koomson
64′
69′
🔁 M. Haakenstad
↦ F. Krogstad
72′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ E. Brenden
P. Larsen 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
76′
A. Karadas 🔁
↦ D. Bamba
76′
78′
K. Ødemarksbakken 1–1
F. Kippe
91′
🔁 S. Antonijevic
↦ T. Olsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
12 M. Pettersen G
2 T. Teniste D
3 V. Wormgoor D
5 T. Grøgaard D
4 C. Rismark D
16 R. Jenssen M
8 F. Haugen M
29 K. Barmen M
11 S. Skålevik F
22 G. Koomson F
9 D. Bamba F
Bench (7)
19 D. Vega
7 P. Larsen
18 A. Karadas
17 G. Sørensen
25 D. Braaten
27 H. Johansen
36 E. Harloff

Coach: L. Nilsen

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
88 A. Smárason F
5 S. Rafn D
23 D. Pedersen M
15 E. Brenden M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (6)
2 M. Haakenstad
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 S. Antonijevic
12 R. Ayagwa
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.