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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Vitesse
U T S U T
4–0
Full-time
Heracles
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
5,2
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 44%
17%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
33%
86%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,2
4,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 16. · Heracles 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 +27 24
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +7 16
4 Heracles 7 5 1 1 +5 16
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 3 1 +9 12
6 VVV Venlo 8 3 2 3 -1 11
7 Den Haag 8 3 2 3 -5 11
8 Heerenveen 8 2 4 2 +2 10
9 Zwolle 8 3 1 4 -2 10
10 Utrecht 8 2 3 3 -3 9
11 Excelsior 8 2 3 3 -4 9
12 Willem II 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 FC Emmen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
14 For Sittard 8 1 4 3 -4 7
15 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 -11 7
16 Vitesse 6 1 3 2 -3 6
17 Groningen 7 1 1 5 -7 4
18 NAC Breda 8 1 0 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Heracles
1–0 N. Foor
A. Büttner
11′
2–0 O. Darfalou
B. Linssen
42′
44′
🟨 Mohammed Osman
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Brouwer
↦ J. Blaswich
53′
🔁 S. Sama
↦ M. Rossmann
54′
🟨 Adrian Dalmau
Jake Clarke-Salter 🟨
58′
3–0 O. Darfalou
M. Ødegaard
66′
72′
🟨 Lerin Duarte
4–0 A. Büttner
73′
81′
🔁 Jesper Drost
↦ L. Duarte
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ M. Bero
85′
M. Clark 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
92′
M. Ali 🔁
↦ O. Darfalou
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
28 A. Büttner D
3 M. van der Werff D
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
18 M. Ødegaard F
11 B. Linssen F
13 O. Darfalou F
Bench (6)
29 T. Buitink
5 M. Clark
23 M. Ali
22 R. Pasveer
2 K. Karami
33 M. Berden

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
23 M. Rossmann D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
8 L. Duarte M
52 A. Merkel M
14 Mohammed Osman M
7 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
9 Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (8)
16 M. Brouwer
31 S. Sama
18 Jesper Drost
19 V. Vermeij
24 D. dos Santos
3 L. Czyborra
10 Y. van Nieff
12 W. Droste

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.