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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Marseille

S S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Caen

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

4,4

2,6

Scored

2,4

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 7. · Caen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Lille	9	6	1	2	+10	19
3	Montpellier	9	4	4	1	+5	16
4	St Etienne	9	4	3	2	-1	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	+7	14
6	Bordeaux	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Marseille	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Toulouse	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
10	Angers	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Nice	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Caen	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Amiens	9	3	1	5	-2	10
14	Nimes	9	2	4	3	-3	10
15	Dijon	9	3	1	5	-4	10
16	Reims	9	2	4	3	-5	10
17	Rennes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Monaco	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Nantes	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Lyon	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Amiens	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Caen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Angers	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Nice	4	1	0	3	-7	3
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Nice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Dijon	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	Nimes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Reims	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Bordeaux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Lille	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Guingamp	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-6	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Amiens	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.