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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Espanol

T S T S U

3–1

Full-time

Villarreal

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 29%

43%

14%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

28 Shots 13

12 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 9

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 8. · Villarreal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
2	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+9	13
6	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Betis	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Espanol	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Celta	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Levante	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Eibar	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
16	Valencia	7	1	5	1	-1	8
17	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
18	Leganes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
19	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-8	5
20	Huesca	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Celta	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Valladolid	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Valencia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Levante	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Alaves	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.