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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Bordeaux
T U S S U
3–0
Full-time
Nantes
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 10. · Nantes 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 Lille 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Montpellier 9 4 4 1 +5 16
4 St Etienne 9 4 3 2 -1 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 +7 14
6 Marseille 8 4 1 3 +3 13
7 Toulouse 9 3 4 2 -2 13
8 Strasbourg 9 3 3 3 +3 12
9 Angers 9 3 2 4 -1 11
10 Bordeaux 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Nice 9 3 2 4 -6 11
12 Caen 8 2 4 2 -1 10
13 Amiens 9 3 1 5 -2 10
14 Nimes 9 2 4 3 -3 10
15 Dijon 9 3 1 5 -4 10
16 Reims 9 2 4 3 -5 10
17 Rennes 8 2 2 4 -3 8
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Guingamp 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Nantes
1–0 Y. Karamoh
L. Lerager
5′
2–0 F. Kamano
7′
30′
🔁 A. Limbombe
↦ A. Waris
41′
🟨 Matthew Miazga
3–0 F. Kamano
42′
Half-time 3–0
66′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ E. Sala
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
67′
71′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ Boschilia
J. Briand 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
73′
Samuel Kalu 🟨
82′
Z. Youssouf 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
20 Y. Sabaly D
14 V. Jovanović D
3 Sergi Palencia D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
9 A. Cornelius F
11 F. Kamano F
8 Y. Karamoh F
Bench (7)
10 S. Kalu
7 J. Briand
28 Z. Youssouf
6 I. Lewczuk
12 N. de Préville
16 G. Poussin
29 M. Poundjé

Coach: É. Bedouet

Nantes

4-2-3-1
30 C. Tătărușanu G
2 Fábio D
6 Lucas Lima D
13 M. Miazga D
3 Diego Carlos D
21 R. Krhin M
12 Boschilia F
28 V. Rongier M
18 S. Moutoussamy M
10 A. Waris F
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
22 A. Limbombe
7 K. Coulibaly
19 A. Touré
1 M. Dupé
5 K. Mbodji
14 C. Traoré
17 Lucas Evangelista

Coach: V. Halilhodžić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.