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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Crystal Palace

U S S S U

0–1

Full-time

West Ham

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,1

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Crystal Palace 8. · West Ham 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Tottenham	8	5	3	0	+9	18
4	Liverpool	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	+6	16
6	Everton	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Man United	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Crystal Palace	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Bournemouth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	West Brom	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Southampton	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Watford	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Leicester	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Burnley	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Hull	8	2	1	5	-12	7
16	Middlesbrough	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Stoke	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Swansea	8	1	1	6	-7	4
19	West Ham	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Sunderland	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Bournemouth	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Arsenal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Leicester	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Everton	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Man United	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Burnley	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	West Brom	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Southampton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Watford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	West Ham	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Hull	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Sunderland	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Swansea	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Liverpool	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Man City	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Tottenham	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Everton	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Crystal Palace	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Man United	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	West Brom	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Southampton	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Hull	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Swansea	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Stoke	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Bournemouth	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Sunderland	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Leicester	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.