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Championship
Referee: James Adcock
Norwich
S S S T S
3–1
Full-time
Rotherham
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Championship · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
64%
9%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
73%
82%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 2. · Rotherham 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 11 8 1 2 +6 25
2 Norwich 11 7 2 2 +6 23
3 Newcastle 11 7 1 3 +12 22
4 Brighton 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 +6 20
6 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 +3 20
7 Brentford 11 5 3 3 +9 18
8 Reading 11 5 3 3 -3 18
9 Sheffield Weds 11 5 2 4 -1 17
10 Barnsley 11 5 1 5 +5 16
11 Leeds 11 5 1 5 -1 16
12 Wolves 11 4 3 4 +1 15
13 Nott'm Forest 12 4 3 5 -1 15
14 QPR 11 4 3 4 -3 15
15 Fulham 11 3 5 3 -3 14
16 Burton Albion 11 3 4 4 +0 13
17 Ipswich 11 3 4 4 -1 13
18 Preston 11 4 1 6 -2 13
19 Cardiff 12 3 2 7 -10 11
20 Aston Villa 11 1 7 3 -2 10
21 Derby 11 2 4 5 -4 10
22 Wigan 11 2 3 6 -2 9
23 Blackburn 11 2 2 7 -8 8
24 Rotherham 11 1 3 7 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Rotherham
1–0 W. Hoolahan
A. Pritchard
17′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Jerome
W. Hoolahan
65′
Josh Murphy 🔁
↦ Jacob Murphy
66′
70′
🔁 D. Blackstock
↦ J. Newell
74′
D. Blackstock 2–1
D. Fisher
S. Naismith 🔁
↦ A. Pritchard
78′
82′
🟨 Isaiah Brown
88′
🔁 J. Forster-Caskey
↦ W. Vaulks
88′
🔁 S. Allan
↦ I. Brown
3–1 S. Naismith
Josh Murphy
89′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ W. Hoolahan
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
33 M. McGovern G
3 Martin Olsson D
5 R. Martin D
15 T. Klose D
25 Ivo Pinto D
27 A. Tettey M
14 W. Hoolahan M
4 G. Dorrans M
21 A. Pritchard M
22 Jacob Murphy M
10 C. Jerome F
Bench (7)
31 Josh Murphy
7 S. Naismith
9 Nélson Oliveira
1 J. Ruddy
6 S. Bassong
24 R. Bennett
34 L. Thompson

Coach: A. Neil

Rotherham

4-4-1-1
1 L. Camp G
15 G. Halford M
14 D. Ball M
17 D. Fisher D
18 D. Fry D
8 L. Frecklington M
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
4 W. Vaulks M
9 D. Ward F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
20 D. Blackstock
10 J. Forster-Caskey
21 S. Allan
3 J. Mattock
7 A. Forde
12 L. Price
16 K. Wilson

Coach: A. Stubbs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Adcock · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.