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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
1–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 19. · Bournemouth 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Man United 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Tottenham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Everton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Liverpool 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 West Ham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Swansea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Arsenal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Watford 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Leicester 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
11′
J. King 0–1
H. Arter
Yohan Cabaye 🟨
16′
Damien Delaney 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Artur Boruc
59′
🔁 D. Gosling
↦ J. Ibe
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ C. Wickham
66′
Chung-Yong Lee 🔁
↦ J. McArthur
66′
71′
🔁 L. Grabban
↦ C. Wilson
Christian Benteke 🟨
73′
M. Kelly 🔁
↦ J. Ward
88′
88′
🔁 N. Aké
↦ R. Fraser
1–1 S. Dann
J. Puncheon
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-4-1-1
30 S. Mandanda G
27 D. Delaney D
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
23 P. Souaré D
7 Y. Cabaye M
42 J. Puncheon M
18 J. McArthur M
10 A. Townsend M
17 C. Benteke F
21 C. Wickham F
Bench (7)
11 W. Zaha
14 Chung-Yong Lee
34 M. Kelly
1 J. Speroni
5 J. Tomkins
16 J. Ledley
38 H. Boateng

Coach: A. Pardew

Bournemouth

4-3-3
1 A. Boruc G
2 S. Francis D
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
6 A. Surman M
8 H. Arter M
24 R. Fraser M
33 J. Ibe F
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
4 D. Gosling
28 L. Grabban
5 N. Aké
9 B. Afobe
10 M. Gradel
14 B. Smith
23 A. Federici

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.