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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

PSV Eindhoven

U S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Heracles

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

28 Shots 3

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Heracles 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	2	1	+11	17
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Twente	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
10	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	2	5	-7	8
14	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Willem II	9	1	4	4	-8	7
16	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Roda	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Twente	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Utrecht	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Roda	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Twente	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.