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Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T S T S

2–2

Full-time

Genk

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

89%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

5 Corners 4

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Genk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Standard	10	4	4	2	+6	16
3	Kortrijk	10	4	3	3	+2	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Gent	5	4	1	0	+7	13
6	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Genk	9	4	1	4	-2	13
8	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+3	11
10	Lokeren	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	St Truiden	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	3	0	6	-5	9
13	Beveren	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Westerlo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
15	Oostende	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Kortrijk	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Standard	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Genk	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Lokeren	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	St Truiden	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Beveren	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Oostende	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
12	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Standard	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
9	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
10	Genk	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	Eupen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
12	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Beveren	5	0	1	4	-6	1
15	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-6	1
16	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.