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Premier League
Referee: Mike Jones
Arsenal
S U S U U
3–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
42%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 4. · Bournemouth 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 13 10 1 2 +19 31
2 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 +18 30
3 Man City 13 9 3 1 +17 30
4 Arsenal 12 7 4 1 +13 25
5 Tottenham 13 6 6 1 +9 24
6 Man United 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Everton 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Watford 13 5 3 5 -4 18
9 West Brom 13 4 5 4 +1 17
10 Stoke 13 4 4 5 -5 16
11 Bournemouth 12 4 3 5 -2 15
12 Southampton 12 3 5 4 +0 14
13 Burnley 13 4 2 7 -9 14
14 Leicester 13 3 4 6 -6 13
15 Middlesbrough 13 2 6 5 -3 12
16 Crystal Palace 13 3 2 8 -5 11
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 -10 11
18 Hull 13 3 2 8 -17 11
19 Swansea 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Sunderland 13 2 2 9 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Bournemouth
4′
🟨 Steve Cook
7′
🟨 Simon Francis
1–0 A. Sánchez
12′
Gabriel Paulista 🔁
↦ M. Debuchy
16′
Shkodran Mustafi 🟨
22′
23′
C. Wilson 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Walcott
Nacho Monreal
53′
Alexis Sánchez 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 B. Afobe
↦ C. Wilson
71′
🔁 J. Ibe
↦ J. Stanislas
73′
🟨 Harry Arter
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
75′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ T. Walcott
76′
80′
🟨 Bradley Smith
81′
🔁 L. Mousset
↦ B. Smith
88′
🟨 Dan Gosling
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
90′
3–1 A. Sánchez
O. Giroud
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
33 P. Čech G
2 M. Debuchy D
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
20 S. Mustafi D
11 M. Özil M
29 G. Xhaka M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
35 Mohamed Elneny M
14 T. Walcott M
7 A. Sánchez F
Bench (7)
5 Gabriel Paulista
8 A. Ramsey
12 O. Giroud
3 K. Gibbs
13 D. Ospina
17 A. Iwobi
34 F. Coquelin

Coach: A. Wenger

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
23 A. Federici G
2 S. Francis D
15 A. Smith M
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
14 B. Smith D
4 D. Gosling M
8 H. Arter M
19 J. Stanislas M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King M
Bench (7)
9 B. Afobe
33 J. Ibe
31 L. Mousset
7 M. Pugh
21 R. Allsop
24 R. Fraser
26 T. Mings

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.