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Premier League

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Middlesbrough

T T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

11%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

7 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 17. · Bournemouth 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	Man City	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Chelsea	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Tottenham	9	5	4	0	+9	19
6	Everton	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Man United	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Watford	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Crystal Palace	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Leicester	9	3	2	4	-4	11
13	West Brom	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Burnley	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-7	10
16	Stoke	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Middlesbrough	9	1	4	4	-4	7
18	Hull	9	2	1	6	-14	7
19	Swansea	9	1	2	6	-7	5
20	Sunderland	10	0	2	8	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Man City	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Leicester	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+4	10
8	Burnley	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Southampton	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Everton	4	2	2	0	+3	8
11	Man United	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	West Ham	5	2	1	2	-3	7
13	West Brom	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Crystal Palace	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Watford	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Stoke	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Hull	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Swansea	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Tottenham	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Man City	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Watford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Middlesbrough	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Southampton	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	-7	4
15	Swansea	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Bournemouth	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-8	0
20	Leicester	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.