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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Utrecht
S S U S U
3–3
Full-time
Feyenoord
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 57%
36%
77%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
73%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 9. · Feyenoord 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +21 33
2 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +24 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 8 5 1 +16 29
4 Heerenveen 13 6 4 3 +10 22
5 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 6 1 +10 21
6 Twente 14 5 5 4 +3 20
7 Vitesse 14 4 5 5 +1 17
8 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 5 5 +0 17
9 Utrecht 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Heracles 14 3 6 5 -7 15
11 Nijmegen 14 3 6 5 -11 15
12 Excelsior 14 4 2 8 -8 14
13 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
14 Den Haag 14 4 2 8 -9 14
15 Groningen 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Zwolle 14 3 4 7 -16 13
17 Roda 14 1 8 5 -11 11
18 Go Ahead Eagles 14 3 2 9 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Feyenoord
1–0 S. Haller
N. Barazite
2′
4′
D. Kuijt 1–1
39′
🟨 Karim El Ahmadi
Half-time 2–1
2–1 G. Troupée
52′
72′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ J. Toornstra
D. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Ruiter
75′
81′
🟨 Bilal Başaçıkoğlu
P. Joosten 🔁
↦ R. Zivkovic
84′
3–1 S. Haller
84′
90′
N. Jørgensen 3–2
B. Basaçikoglu
M. Koch 🔁
↦ Robin van der Meer
93′
93′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ J. van der Heijden
99′
M. Kramer 3–3
N. Jørgensen
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 R. Ruiter G
2 M. van der Maarel D
15 Robin van der Meer D
20 G. Troupée D
8 W. Janssen D
6 Y. Ayoub M
7 R. Strieder M
25 S. Amrabat M
10 N. Barazite M
22 S. Haller F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (9)
16 D. Jensen
24 P. Joosten
14 M. Koch
21 K. Peterson
27 G. Kerk
33 M. Abena
18 R. Rubin
5 K. Conboy
11 A. Ludwig

Coach: E. ten Hag

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
18 M. Nelom D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
9 N. Jørgensen F
Bench (12)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
29 M. Kramer
19 S. Berghuis
27 Simon Gustafson
15 L. Woudenberg
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
31 W. Dammers
26 B. Nieuwkoop
40 M. El Hankouri
30 P. Hansson
5 M. Vejinovic

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.