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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Roma

S S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Pescara

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Pescara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

0,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,8

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

62%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

85%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

62%

38%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Pescara 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	11	0	3	+17	33
2	Milan	14	9	2	3	+7	29
3	Lazio	14	8	4	2	+13	28
4	Atalanta	14	9	1	4	+9	28
5	Roma	13	8	2	3	+16	26
6	Torino	14	7	4	3	+14	25
7	Napoli	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Fiorentina	12	5	5	2	+7	20
9	Genoa	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Cagliari	14	6	1	7	-9	19
12	Inter	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Chievo	14	5	3	6	-2	18
14	Bologna	14	4	4	6	-7	16
15	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-5	15
16	Sassuolo	13	4	1	8	-9	13
17	Empoli	14	2	4	8	-14	10
18	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-14	7
19	Crotone	14	1	3	10	-16	6
20	Palermo	14	1	3	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Roma	6	6	0	0	+16	18
3	Torino	7	5	2	0	+12	17
4	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Cagliari	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Milan	7	5	1	1	+5	16
7	Atalanta	7	5	0	2	+5	15
8	Genoa	7	3	4	0	+7	13
9	Napoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
10	Sampdoria	6	4	1	1	+3	13
11	Bologna	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Inter	6	3	2	1	+4	11
13	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Fiorentina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
15	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	-4	9
16	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Crotone	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Pescara	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Palermo	7	0	0	7	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
3	Lazio	7	3	3	1	+3	12
4	Juventus	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Roma	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Inter	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Chievo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Genoa	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Sassuolo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Pescara	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-9	3
19	Cagliari	7	1	0	6	-14	3
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.