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Premier League

Referee: Mike Jones

Swansea

S S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Newcastle

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 14. · Newcastle 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Man City	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Watford	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Tottenham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Burnley	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Liverpool	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	West Brom	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Southampton	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Brighton	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Swansea	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Everton	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Leicester	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Bournemouth	4	0	0	4	-7	0
19	Crystal Palace	4	0	0	4	-7	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Southampton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Everton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Watford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Burnley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Brighton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.