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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Ath Bilbao

T U T U S

2–0

Full-time

Girona

U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,5

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Girona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Betis	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
3	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Betis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.