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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Huddersfield
U S T U U
0–1
Full-time
Arsenal
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,3
4,2
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
24%
49%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
38%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
32%
57%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 16. · Arsenal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 37 31 4 2 +78 97
2 Man United 37 24 6 7 +39 78
3 Tottenham 37 22 8 7 +37 74
4 Liverpool 37 20 12 5 +42 72
5 Chelsea 37 21 7 9 +27 70
6 Arsenal 37 18 6 13 +22 60
7 Burnley 37 14 12 11 -2 54
8 Everton 37 13 10 14 -12 49
9 Leicester 37 12 11 14 -3 47
10 Newcastle 37 11 8 18 -11 41
11 Crystal Palace 37 10 11 16 -12 41
12 Bournemouth 37 10 11 16 -17 41
13 Watford 37 11 8 18 -19 41
14 Brighton 37 9 13 15 -16 40
15 West Ham 37 9 12 16 -22 39
16 Huddersfield 37 9 10 18 -29 37
17 Southampton 37 7 15 15 -18 36
18 Swansea 37 8 9 20 -27 33
19 West Brom 37 6 13 18 -23 31
20 Stoke 37 6 12 19 -34 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Arsenal
38′
P. Aubameyang 0–1
A. Ramsey
Half-time 0–1
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ T. Ince
61′
67′
🔁 D. Welbeck
↦ P. Aubameyang
68′
🔁 Nacho Monreal
↦ S. Kolašinac
72′
🔁 A. Maitland-Niles
↦ A. Iwobi
P. Billing 🔁
↦ S. Mounié
79′
D. Whitehead 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
87′
Zanka 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

5-3-2
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
5 T. Kongolo D
33 F. Hadergjonaj D
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
22 T. Ince M
21 A. Pritchard F
24 S. Mounié F
Bench (7)
20 L. Depoitre
8 P. Billing
4 D. Whitehead
2 T. Smith
11 A. Sabiri
13 J. Coleman
27 J. Stankovič

Coach: D. Wagner

Arsenal

4-3-3
13 D. Ospina G
20 S. Mustafi D
31 S. Kolašinac D
24 Bellerín D
16 R. Holding D
7 H. Mkhitaryan F
8 A. Ramsey M
29 G. Xhaka M
17 A. Iwobi M
14 P. Aubameyang F
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
23 D. Welbeck
18 Nacho Monreal
30 A. Maitland-Niles
4 P. Mertesacker
54 M. Macey
62 E. Nketiah
69 J. Willock

Coach: A. Wenger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.