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Pro League

Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Genk

U S U T U

4–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 39%

39%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

54%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 4. · Charleroi 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	28	19	5	4	+34	62
2	Anderlecht	28	17	4	7	+13	55
3	Standard	28	15	7	6	+16	52
4	Genk	28	11	12	5	+7	45
5	Gent	28	12	7	9	+14	43
6	Kortrijk	30	12	6	12	+3	42
7	Charleroi	28	11	9	8	+2	42
8	Antwerp	30	10	11	9	-2	41
9	Waregem	30	11	4	15	-5	37
10	St Truiden	30	9	10	11	-12	37
11	Oostende	30	10	6	14	+1	36
12	Beveren	30	9	8	13	-1	35
13	Lokeren	30	8	7	15	-16	31
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	8	6	16	-19	30
15	Eupen	30	6	9	15	-17	27
16	Mechelen	30	6	9	15	-18	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	Standard	14	10	3	1	+12	33
3	Anderlecht	14	9	2	3	+10	29
4	St Truiden	15	8	3	4	+2	27
5	Kortrijk	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Gent	14	7	2	5	+9	23
7	Genk	14	5	8	1	+8	23
8	Eupen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
9	Charleroi	14	5	7	2	+4	22
10	Beveren	15	6	3	6	+6	21
11	Antwerp	15	4	7	4	+3	19
12	Mechelen	15	5	4	6	-3	19
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	5	4	6	-6	19
14	Oostende	15	6	0	9	-1	18
15	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-8	17
16	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+3	26
2	Club Brugge	14	7	4	3	+10	25
3	Genk	14	6	4	4	-1	22
4	Antwerp	15	6	4	5	-5	22
5	Lokeren	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Gent	14	5	5	4	+5	20
7	Waregem	15	6	2	7	+3	20
8	Charleroi	14	6	2	6	-2	20
9	Standard	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Oostende	15	4	6	5	+2	18
11	Kortrijk	15	5	1	9	-8	16
12	Beveren	15	3	5	7	-7	14
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	2	10	-13	11
14	St Truiden	15	1	7	7	-14	10
15	Mechelen	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	Eupen	15	0	4	11	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.