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Championship
Referee: Eddie Ilderton
Rotherham
S S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Hull
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Championship · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
19%
60%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
62%
30%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 23. · Hull 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 22 14 4 4 +21 46
2 Brighton 21 11 9 1 +8 42
3 Hull 20 12 5 3 +19 41
4 Derby 20 10 8 2 +17 38
5 Burnley 21 9 8 4 +6 35
6 Ipswich 21 9 7 5 +3 34
7 Cardiff 22 8 9 5 +4 33
8 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 +4 33
9 Sheffield Weds 20 7 8 5 +2 29
10 Brentford 21 8 5 8 +0 29
11 Blackburn 21 6 10 5 +4 28
12 QPR 21 7 7 7 -1 28
13 Reading 21 7 6 8 +2 27
14 Leeds 21 6 8 7 -3 26
15 Nott'm Forest 21 6 7 8 +0 25
16 Preston 21 5 10 6 +0 25
17 Wolves 21 6 7 8 -1 25
18 Fulham 21 5 8 8 -3 23
19 Huddersfield 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Milton Keynes Dons 21 5 4 12 -11 19
21 Bristol City 21 4 7 10 -17 19
22 Charlton 21 4 6 11 -15 18
23 Rotherham 21 4 3 14 -16 15
24 Bolton 21 1 10 10 -15 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Hull
Kirk Broadfoot 🟨
18′
1–0 L. Frecklington
28′
41′
🟨 Curtis Davies
Half-time 1–0
L. Buxton 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
46′
55′
🔁 M. Diamé
↦ M. Odubajo
2–0 J. Newell
L. Frecklington
57′
67′
🔁 A. Diomande
↦ A. Hernández
67′
🔁 T. Huddlestone
↦ D. Meyler
Luke Hyam 🟨
70′
J. Clarke-Harris 🔁
↦ D. Ward
81′
T. Andreu 🔁
↦ L. Frecklington
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rotherham

1 L. Camp G
5 K. Broadfoot D
3 J. Mattock D
12 S. Kelly D
20 F. Rawson D
8 L. Frecklington M
9 D. Ward F
25 L. Hyam D
33 R. Smallwood M
22 J. Newell M
17 G. Ward M
Bench (7)
2 L. Buxton
19 J. Clarke-Harris
24 T. Andreu
4 D. Collins
11 P. Green
21 A. Collin
27 M. Derbyshire

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
6 C. Davies D
26 A. Robertson D
15 S. Maloney M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
7 D. Meyler M
14 J. Livermore M
2 M. Odubajo D
12 H. Maguire D
9 A. Hernández F
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
17 M. Diamé
25 A. Diomande
8 T. Huddlestone
5 R. Taylor
11 S. Clucas
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eddie Ilderton · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
0,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.