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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Hannover
T T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 57%
25%
88%
Points per game
0,9
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20% Possession 80%
6 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 3
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 16. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 1 1 +37 43
2 Dortmund 16 12 2 2 +25 38
3 Hertha 16 9 2 5 +6 29
4 Schalke 04 17 8 3 6 +0 27
5 Wolfsburg 16 7 5 4 +7 26
6 M'gladbach 16 8 2 6 +3 26
7 Leverkusen 16 7 3 6 +4 24
8 Mainz 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Hamburg 16 6 4 6 -3 22
10 FC Koln 16 5 6 5 -4 21
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 16 5 5 6 -6 20
12 Darmstadt 16 4 6 6 -8 18
13 Augsburg 16 4 4 8 -6 16
14 Werder Bremen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
15 Ein Frankfurt 16 3 5 8 -8 14
16 Hannover 16 4 2 10 -10 14
17 Hoffenheim 17 2 7 8 -8 13
18 Stuttgart 16 3 3 10 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Bayern Munich
40′
T. Müller 0–1
Half-time 0–1
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ M. Erdinç
58′
A. Saint-Maximin 🔁
↦ L. Andreasen
69′
73′
🔁 J. Kimmich
↦ H. Badstuber
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ K. Karaman
84′
88′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ A. Vidal
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hannover

1 R. Zieler G
19 C. Schulz D
25 Marcelo D
3 Miiko Albornoz D
4 H. Sakai D
5 S. Sané D
2 L. Andreasen M
8 M. Schmiedebach M
7 E. Prib M
26 K. Karaman F
39 M. Erdinç F
Bench (7)
35 C. Benschop
14 A. Saint-Maximin
11 F. Klaus
6 C. Gülselam
13 P. Tschauner
20 Felipe
31 W. Anton

Bayern Munich

1 M. Neuer G
13 Rafinha D
17 J. Boateng D
28 H. Badstuber D
14 Xabi Alonso M
8 Javi Martínez M
23 A. Vidal M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (4)
32 J. Kimmich
20 S. Rode
15 J. Kirchhoff
26 S. Ulreich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.