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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Zwayer

FC Ingolstadt 04

U S T U T

0–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

31%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

19%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 11. · Leverkusen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	14	1	1	+37	43
2	Dortmund	16	12	2	2	+25	38
3	Hertha	16	9	2	5	+6	29
4	Schalke 04	17	8	3	6	+0	27
5	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+7	26
6	M'gladbach	16	8	2	6	+3	26
7	Leverkusen	16	7	3	6	+4	24
8	Mainz	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Hamburg	16	6	4	6	-3	22
10	FC Koln	16	5	6	5	-4	21
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	5	5	6	-6	20
12	Darmstadt	16	4	6	6	-8	18
13	Augsburg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
14	Werder Bremen	16	4	3	9	-14	15
15	Ein Frankfurt	16	3	5	8	-8	14
16	Hannover	16	4	2	10	-10	14
17	Hoffenheim	17	2	7	8	-8	13
18	Stuttgart	16	3	3	10	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	9	0	0	+29	27
2	Dortmund	8	7	1	0	+20	22
3	Wolfsburg	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Schalke 04	9	5	2	2	+2	17
5	M'gladbach	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Hertha	7	5	1	1	+5	16
7	Leverkusen	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+0	13
9	FC Koln	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Hamburg	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Augsburg	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Hoffenheim	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Darmstadt	9	1	4	4	-8	7
15	Stuttgart	8	2	1	5	-9	7
16	Hannover	7	2	0	5	-3	6
17	Ein Frankfurt	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Werder Bremen	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Dortmund	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Hamburg	9	4	2	3	-2	14
4	Hertha	9	4	1	4	+1	13
5	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	3	3	3	-4	12
6	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	-4	11
10	M'gladbach	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Schalke 04	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Hoffenheim	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Wolfsburg	7	1	3	3	-7	6
18	Stuttgart	8	1	2	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.