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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Everton
U S U U U
2–3
Full-time
Leicester
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 72%
63%
81%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 10. · Leicester 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 16 10 5 1 +12 35
2 Arsenal 16 10 3 3 +16 33
3 Man City 16 10 2 4 +15 32
4 Man United 16 8 5 3 +9 29
5 Tottenham 16 6 8 2 +12 26
6 Crystal Palace 16 8 2 6 +6 26
7 Watford 16 7 4 5 +2 25
8 West Ham 16 6 6 4 +4 24
9 Liverpool 16 6 6 4 +1 24
10 Everton 16 5 8 3 +8 23
11 Stoke 16 6 5 5 -1 23
12 Southampton 16 5 6 5 +2 21
13 West Brom 16 5 5 6 -5 20
14 Bournemouth 16 4 4 8 -11 16
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 -13 16
16 Chelsea 16 4 3 9 -8 15
17 Swansea 16 3 5 8 -9 14
18 Norwich 16 3 5 8 -10 14
19 Sunderland 16 3 3 10 -13 12
20 Aston Villa 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Leicester
27′
R. Mahrez 0–1
1–1 R. Lukaku
32′
Half-time 1–1
Ramiro Funes Mori 🟨
61′
Tim Howard 🟨
64′
65′
R. Mahrez 1–2
69′
S. Okazaki 1–3
J. Vardy
71′
🔁 N. Dyer
↦ M. Albrighton
K. Mirallas 🔁
↦ A. Koné
74′
A. Lennon 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
74′
81′
🟨 Marcin Wasilewski
83′
🔁 R. De Laet
↦ R. Mahrez
87′
🔁 L. Ulloa
↦ J. Vardy
2–3 K. Mirallas
R. Barkley
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Everton

24 T. Howard G
3 L. Baines D
23 S. Coleman D
25 Ramiro Funes Mori D
5 J. Stones D
18 G. Barry M
15 T. Cleverley M
20 R. Barkley M
9 A. Koné F
10 R. Lukaku F
19 Deulofeu F
Bench (7)
11 K. Mirallas
12 A. Lennon
1 Joel Robles
4 D. Gibson
17 M. Bešić
21 L. Osman
32 B. Galloway

Leicester

1 K. Schmeichel G
27 M. Wasilewski D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
10 A. King M
11 M. Albrighton M
14 N. Kanté M
20 S. Okazaki F
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
24 N. Dyer
2 R. De Laet
23 L. Ulloa
19 A. Kramarić
29 Y. Benalouane
32 M. Schwarzer
33 G. İnler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.