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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Birmingham
S T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
68%
Both score Ø 66%
60%
72%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 7
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 12. · Nott'm Forest 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 24 16 6 2 +25 54
2 Newcastle 25 17 1 7 +28 52
3 Leeds 26 15 3 8 +11 48
4 Reading 24 14 4 6 +8 46
5 Huddersfield 24 14 4 6 +3 46
6 Derby 26 11 7 8 +5 40
7 Sheffield Weds 24 11 6 7 +3 39
8 Barnsley 25 11 5 9 +6 38
9 Norwich 25 11 4 10 +4 37
10 Preston 25 10 6 9 +1 36
11 Aston Villa 25 8 11 6 +2 35
12 Birmingham 25 9 8 8 -5 35
13 Fulham 23 8 9 6 +6 33
14 Brentford 25 9 6 10 +1 33
15 QPR 26 9 5 12 -11 32
16 Ipswich 25 8 7 10 -4 31
17 Cardiff 25 8 6 11 -10 30
18 Wolves 25 7 8 10 -2 29
19 Bristol City 26 8 3 15 -3 27
20 Nott'm Forest 25 7 5 13 -8 26
21 Burton Albion 25 6 7 12 -8 25
22 Blackburn 25 6 6 13 -11 24
23 Wigan 25 4 7 14 -11 19
24 Rotherham 25 3 4 18 -30 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Nott'm Forest
28′
🟨 Michael Mancienne
Half-time 0–0
Michael Morrison 🟨
49′
C. Gardner 🔁
↦ M. Kieftenbeld
54′
D. Cotterill 🔁
↦ D. Fabbrini
64′
72′
🔁 Dani Pinillos
↦ Licá
82′
🔁 D. Vaughan
↦ Hildeberto Pereira
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-3-3
29 T. Kuszczak G
23 J. Spector
3 J. Grounds D
5 R. Shotton D
28 M. Morrison D
8 S. Gleeson M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
14 Che Adams F
15 L. Jutkiewicz F
10 D. Fabbrini F
Bench (7)
12 C. Gardner
11 D. Cotterill
25 J. Cogley
17 V. Solomon-Otabor
4 P. Robinson
7 R. Tesche
1 A. Legzdins

Coach: G. Zola

Nott'm Forest

4-1-4-1
30 S. Henderson G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
25 J. Hobbs D
2 E. Lichaj D
28 T. Lam D
11 B. Osborn M
17 Hildeberto Pereira D
41 M. Cash M
20 Licá F
9 B. Assombalonga F
Bench (7)
3 Dani Pinillos
24 D. Vaughan
27 D. Perquis
14 N. Bendtner
45 B. Brereton
49 T. Edser
38 V. Stojković

Coach: P. Montanier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.